January–August 2026 analysis
European travel to the US down 9.7% since 2024 — which countries changed most?
The US recorded 8,403,210 international visitor arrivals from NTTO-defined Europe in January–August 2026, 9.7% fewer than in the same months of 2024. Arrivals from residents of Denmark fell 40.2%, while Germany recorded the largest absolute decline in the European country panel. The UK and Poland remained above 2024 levels. This Destination Finder analysis uses a frozen snapshot of official NTTO data.
- Published
- 24 September 2026
- Reference period
- Jan–Aug, matched
- Source retrieved
- 24 September 2026
- Data status
- Jul–Aug 2026 preliminary
What is counted. US National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO) ADIS/I-94 international visitor arrivals, by country of residence. These are arrival events — not unique people, unique trips, citizenship or leisure-only travellers. July and August 2026 are preliminary, and recent months can be revised. The figures describe changes; they do not explain why arrivals changed.
Key findings
NTTO-defined Europe
−9.7% vs 2024
9,301,057 → 8,403,210 arrivals, −897,847.
Largest % decline
Denmark · −40.2%
155,990 → 93,292. Largest percentage decline among 48 ranked markets and the 15 large markets.
Largest absolute decline
Germany · −309,558
1,292,854 → 983,296 arrivals (−23.9%).
Largest absolute increase
United Kingdom · +38,649
+1.5% vs 2024, but −0.6% vs 2025.
Large-market counter-trend
Poland · +6.3%
Also +0.9% vs 2025 — the only one of the 15 large markets above both recent baselines.
How 48 European markets changed
The chart ranks 48 countries of residence by the percentage change in January–August arrivals between 2024 and 2026, using unrounded values. The Europe-wide figure comes from NTTO’s own regional aggregate, which covers a different set of places from this country panel.
Which European source markets changed most between 2024 and 2026?
Change in US visitor arrivals by country of residence, January–August 2026 vs January–August 2024.
NTTO-defined Europe: −9.7% (different geography from the country ranking panel).
- 1.Denmark−40.2%
- 2.Germany−23.9%
- 3.Switzerland−22.9%
- 4.Vatican City◦−22.7%
- 5.Luxembourg◦−21.6%
- 6.Netherlands−21.5%
- 7.Belgium−21.0%
- 8.France−20.2%
- 9.San Marino◦−18.6%
- 10.Belarus◦−18.1%
- 11.Moldova◦−18.1%
- 12.Finland•−17.3%
- 13.Liechtenstein◦−16.7%
- 14.Austria−14.7%
- 15.Sweden−13.3%
- 16.Czechia•−9.8%
- 17.Ireland−9.2%
- 18.Albania◦−9.1%
- 19.Slovenia◦−7.1%
- 20.Slovakia•−6.7%
- 21.Estonia◦−6.5%
- 22.Armenia◦−6.4%
- 23.Italy−5.9%
- 24.Norway−5.7%
- 25.Montenegro◦−5.5%
- 26.Iceland•−4.2%
- 27.Portugal−4.0%
- 28.Spain−2.4%
- 29.Russia•−1.8%
- 30.Romania•−1.3%
- 31.Greece•−0.2%
- 32.North Macedonia◦+0.5%
- 33.United Kingdom+1.5%
- 34.Latvia◦+1.8%
- 35.Serbia◦+2.2%
- 36.Lithuania•+2.3%
- 37.Andorra◦+2.6%
- 38.Bulgaria◦+3.5%
- 39.Cyprus◦+3.6%
- 40.Poland+6.3%
- 41.Malta◦+6.7%
- 42.Ukraine•+9.8%
- 43.Georgia◦+10.6%
- 44.Monaco◦+12.0%
- 45.Azerbaijan◦+17.4%
- 46.Hungary•+19.0%
- 47.Croatia•+20.2%
- 48.Bosnia and Herzegovina◦+20.8%
Solid vertical line: zero change. Unmarked names are large markets (100,000+ arrivals in Jan–Aug 2025); • medium (25,000–99,999); ◦ small (under 25,000, lighter bars). Small-market percentages, such as Bosnia and Herzegovina’s, move sharply on small absolute changes.
The Europe-wide result
Arrivals from NTTO-defined Europe (Western plus Eastern Europe) totalled 8,403,210 in January–August 2026. That was −9.7% compared with January–August 2024 (9,301,057), −8.1% compared with 2025 (9,143,521) and −19.3% compared with 2019 (10,414,563). Each comparison uses the same eight months in both years.
Country analysis
Denmark
Arrivals from residents of Denmark fell from 155,990 to 93,292 (−62,698, −40.2%), the largest percentage decline in the panel. Against 2025 the change was −25.5%.
Germany
Germany recorded 983,296 arrivals, 309,558 fewer than in 2024 (−23.9%) — the largest absolute decline of any country in the panel. Against 2025 the change was −15.5%.
United Kingdom
The UK, the largest European source market, recorded 2,628,714 arrivals, 38,649 more than in 2024 (+1.5%) and the largest absolute increase in the panel. Compared with 2025, however, arrivals were −0.6%.
Poland
Arrivals from residents of Poland rose from 248,778 to 264,477 (+6.3%) and were +0.9% above 2025. Poland was the only one of the 15 large markets above both recent baselines.
Contrasts
Other large markets also recorded double-digit percentage declines against 2024: the Netherlands (421,483 → 330,740, −21.5%), France (1,160,172 → 925,622, −20.2%), Switzerland (−22.9%) and Sweden (192,679 → 167,142, −13.3%). Croatia, a medium market, rose from 25,860 to 31,094 (+20.2%), the largest percentage increase among medium and large markets. Bosnia and Herzegovina recorded +20.8%, but from a small base of 5,902 arrivals.
Full country ranking, 2026 vs 2024
Ranked by unrounded percentage change; rank 1 is the largest decline. Market size uses January–August 2025 arrivals: large >=100,000; medium 25,000 to 99,999; small <25,000. Fixed before ranking, not a statistical significance rule.
1. Denmark
−40.2%
Jan–Aug 2024155,990
Jan–Aug 202693,292
Change−62,698
MarketLarge
2. Germany
−23.9%
Jan–Aug 20241,292,854
Jan–Aug 2026983,296
Change−309,558
MarketLarge
3. Switzerland
−22.9%
Jan–Aug 2024265,078
Jan–Aug 2026204,455
Change−60,623
MarketLarge
4. Vatican City
−22.7%
Jan–Aug 2024128
Jan–Aug 202699
Change−29
MarketSmall
5. Luxembourg
−21.6%
Jan–Aug 202415,873
Jan–Aug 202612,442
Change−3,431
MarketSmall
6. Netherlands
−21.5%
Jan–Aug 2024421,483
Jan–Aug 2026330,740
Change−90,743
MarketLarge
7. Belgium
−21.0%
Jan–Aug 2024194,768
Jan–Aug 2026153,916
Change−40,852
MarketLarge
8. France
−20.2%
Jan–Aug 20241,160,172
Jan–Aug 2026925,622
Change−234,550
MarketLarge
9. San Marino
−18.6%
Jan–Aug 2024488
Jan–Aug 2026397
Change−91
MarketSmall
10. Belarus
−18.1%
Jan–Aug 20246,325
Jan–Aug 20265,183
Change−1,142
MarketSmall
11. Moldova
−18.1%
Jan–Aug 20246,137
Jan–Aug 20265,029
Change−1,108
MarketSmall
12. Finland
−17.3%
Jan–Aug 202469,013
Jan–Aug 202657,062
Change−11,951
MarketMedium
13. Liechtenstein
−16.7%
Jan–Aug 20241,372
Jan–Aug 20261,143
Change−229
MarketSmall
14. Austria
−14.7%
Jan–Aug 2024129,603
Jan–Aug 2026110,524
Change−19,079
MarketLarge
15. Sweden
−13.3%
Jan–Aug 2024192,679
Jan–Aug 2026167,142
Change−25,537
MarketLarge
16. Czechia
−9.8%
Jan–Aug 202485,146
Jan–Aug 202676,818
Change−8,328
MarketMedium
17. Ireland
−9.2%
Jan–Aug 2024315,378
Jan–Aug 2026286,246
Change−29,132
MarketLarge
18. Albania
−9.1%
Jan–Aug 202418,452
Jan–Aug 202616,773
Change−1,679
MarketSmall
19. Slovenia
−7.1%
Jan–Aug 202418,908
Jan–Aug 202617,573
Change−1,335
MarketSmall
20. Slovakia
−6.7%
Jan–Aug 202433,576
Jan–Aug 202631,313
Change−2,263
MarketMedium
21. Estonia
−6.5%
Jan–Aug 202414,664
Jan–Aug 202613,708
Change−956
MarketSmall
22. Armenia
−6.4%
Jan–Aug 202413,105
Jan–Aug 202612,263
Change−842
MarketSmall
23. Italy
−5.9%
Jan–Aug 2024756,667
Jan–Aug 2026712,377
Change−44,290
MarketLarge
24. Norway
−5.7%
Jan–Aug 2024116,858
Jan–Aug 2026110,243
Change−6,615
MarketLarge
25. Montenegro
−5.5%
Jan–Aug 20243,697
Jan–Aug 20263,495
Change−202
MarketSmall
26. Iceland
−4.2%
Jan–Aug 202427,320
Jan–Aug 202626,163
Change−1,157
MarketMedium
27. Portugal
−4.0%
Jan–Aug 2024116,508
Jan–Aug 2026111,802
Change−4,706
MarketLarge
28. Spain
−2.4%
Jan–Aug 2024597,674
Jan–Aug 2026583,194
Change−14,480
MarketLarge
29. Russia
−1.8%
Jan–Aug 202455,304
Jan–Aug 202654,318
Change−986
MarketMedium
30. Romania
−1.3%
Jan–Aug 202460,536
Jan–Aug 202659,731
Change−805
MarketMedium
31. Greece
−0.2%
Jan–Aug 202457,295
Jan–Aug 202657,167
Change−128
MarketMedium
32. North Macedonia
+0.5%
Jan–Aug 20246,009
Jan–Aug 20266,042
Change+33
MarketSmall
33. United Kingdom
+1.5%
Jan–Aug 20242,590,065
Jan–Aug 20262,628,714
Change+38,649
MarketLarge
34. Latvia
+1.8%
Jan–Aug 202414,464
Jan–Aug 202614,718
Change+254
MarketSmall
35. Serbia
+2.2%
Jan–Aug 202422,638
Jan–Aug 202623,127
Change+489
MarketSmall
36. Lithuania
+2.3%
Jan–Aug 202425,464
Jan–Aug 202626,056
Change+592
MarketMedium
37. Andorra
+2.6%
Jan–Aug 20241,866
Jan–Aug 20261,915
Change+49
MarketSmall
38. Bulgaria
+3.5%
Jan–Aug 202421,436
Jan–Aug 202622,177
Change+741
MarketSmall
39. Cyprus
+3.6%
Jan–Aug 20248,764
Jan–Aug 20269,083
Change+319
MarketSmall
40. Poland
+6.3%
Jan–Aug 2024248,778
Jan–Aug 2026264,477
Change+15,699
MarketLarge
41. Malta
+6.7%
Jan–Aug 20246,238
Jan–Aug 20266,657
Change+419
MarketSmall
42. Ukraine
+9.8%
Jan–Aug 202453,673
Jan–Aug 202658,950
Change+5,277
MarketMedium
43. Georgia
+10.6%
Jan–Aug 20247,674
Jan–Aug 20268,487
Change+813
MarketSmall
44. Monaco
+12.0%
Jan–Aug 20242,275
Jan–Aug 20262,548
Change+273
MarketSmall
45. Azerbaijan
+17.4%
Jan–Aug 20246,703
Jan–Aug 20267,868
Change+1,165
MarketSmall
46. Hungary
+19.0%
Jan–Aug 202457,536
Jan–Aug 202668,463
Change+10,927
MarketMedium
47. Croatia
+20.2%
Jan–Aug 202425,860
Jan–Aug 202631,094
Change+5,234
MarketMedium
48. Bosnia and Herzegovina
+20.8%
Jan–Aug 20245,902
Jan–Aug 20267,130
Change+1,228
MarketSmall
Kosovo — unranked. Raw all-zero 2024-2026 Kosovo observations: unresolved coding/coverage, not evidence of no travel; excluded from change rankings.
Comparison with 2025
Against the latest-year baseline the picture is less extreme but broadly similar: Denmark −25.5%, Germany −15.5%, the UK −0.6%, Poland +0.9% and Hungary +18.1%. Ranks below refer to the 2025 comparison and differ from the 2024 ranking above.
The 15 large markets, 2026 vs 2025
2. Denmark
−25.5%
Jan–Aug 2025125,220
Jan–Aug 202693,292
Change−31,928
MarketLarge
4. Netherlands
−16.4%
Jan–Aug 2025395,853
Jan–Aug 2026330,740
Change−65,113
MarketLarge
5. Switzerland
−15.9%
Jan–Aug 2025243,237
Jan–Aug 2026204,455
Change−38,782
MarketLarge
7. Germany
−15.5%
Jan–Aug 20251,163,938
Jan–Aug 2026983,296
Change−180,642
MarketLarge
8. Belgium
−15.4%
Jan–Aug 2025181,855
Jan–Aug 2026153,916
Change−27,939
MarketLarge
9. France
−15.3%
Jan–Aug 20251,093,016
Jan–Aug 2026925,622
Change−167,394
MarketLarge
10. Italy
−12.4%
Jan–Aug 2025812,987
Jan–Aug 2026712,377
Change−100,610
MarketLarge
13. Austria
−10.0%
Jan–Aug 2025122,823
Jan–Aug 2026110,524
Change−12,299
MarketLarge
14. Sweden
−9.9%
Jan–Aug 2025185,565
Jan–Aug 2026167,142
Change−18,423
MarketLarge
20. Ireland
−9.0%
Jan–Aug 2025314,406
Jan–Aug 2026286,246
Change−28,160
MarketLarge
25. Portugal
−6.6%
Jan–Aug 2025119,683
Jan–Aug 2026111,802
Change−7,881
MarketLarge
26. Spain
−4.7%
Jan–Aug 2025611,811
Jan–Aug 2026583,194
Change−28,617
MarketLarge
33. Norway
−1.2%
Jan–Aug 2025111,609
Jan–Aug 2026110,243
Change−1,366
MarketLarge
35. United Kingdom
−0.6%
Jan–Aug 20252,644,598
Jan–Aug 20262,628,714
Change−15,884
MarketLarge
39. Poland
+0.9%
Jan–Aug 2025262,187
Jan–Aug 2026264,477
Change+2,290
MarketLarge
Show all 48 markets, 2026 vs 2025
1. San Marino
−26.2%
Jan–Aug 2025538
Jan–Aug 2026397
Change−141
MarketSmall
2. Denmark
−25.5%
Jan–Aug 2025125,220
Jan–Aug 202693,292
Change−31,928
MarketLarge
3. Georgia
−16.5%
Jan–Aug 202510,160
Jan–Aug 20268,487
Change−1,673
MarketSmall
4. Netherlands
−16.4%
Jan–Aug 2025395,853
Jan–Aug 2026330,740
Change−65,113
MarketLarge
5. Switzerland
−15.9%
Jan–Aug 2025243,237
Jan–Aug 2026204,455
Change−38,782
MarketLarge
6. Belarus
−15.5%
Jan–Aug 20256,137
Jan–Aug 20265,183
Change−954
MarketSmall
7. Germany
−15.5%
Jan–Aug 20251,163,938
Jan–Aug 2026983,296
Change−180,642
MarketLarge
8. Belgium
−15.4%
Jan–Aug 2025181,855
Jan–Aug 2026153,916
Change−27,939
MarketLarge
9. France
−15.3%
Jan–Aug 20251,093,016
Jan–Aug 2026925,622
Change−167,394
MarketLarge
10. Italy
−12.4%
Jan–Aug 2025812,987
Jan–Aug 2026712,377
Change−100,610
MarketLarge
11. Luxembourg
−11.8%
Jan–Aug 202514,108
Jan–Aug 202612,442
Change−1,666
MarketSmall
12. Finland
−11.8%
Jan–Aug 202564,679
Jan–Aug 202657,062
Change−7,617
MarketMedium
13. Austria
−10.0%
Jan–Aug 2025122,823
Jan–Aug 2026110,524
Change−12,299
MarketLarge
14. Sweden
−9.9%
Jan–Aug 2025185,565
Jan–Aug 2026167,142
Change−18,423
MarketLarge
15. North Macedonia
−9.8%
Jan–Aug 20256,700
Jan–Aug 20266,042
Change−658
MarketSmall
16. Montenegro
−9.7%
Jan–Aug 20253,872
Jan–Aug 20263,495
Change−377
MarketSmall
17. Russia
−9.1%
Jan–Aug 202559,768
Jan–Aug 202654,318
Change−5,450
MarketMedium
18. Albania
−9.1%
Jan–Aug 202518,455
Jan–Aug 202616,773
Change−1,682
MarketSmall
19. Armenia
−9.1%
Jan–Aug 202513,489
Jan–Aug 202612,263
Change−1,226
MarketSmall
20. Ireland
−9.0%
Jan–Aug 2025314,406
Jan–Aug 2026286,246
Change−28,160
MarketLarge
21. Moldova
−8.6%
Jan–Aug 20255,505
Jan–Aug 20265,029
Change−476
MarketSmall
22. Romania
−7.2%
Jan–Aug 202564,385
Jan–Aug 202659,731
Change−4,654
MarketMedium
23. Iceland
−7.1%
Jan–Aug 202528,155
Jan–Aug 202626,163
Change−1,992
MarketMedium
24. Liechtenstein
−6.7%
Jan–Aug 20251,225
Jan–Aug 20261,143
Change−82
MarketSmall
25. Portugal
−6.6%
Jan–Aug 2025119,683
Jan–Aug 2026111,802
Change−7,881
MarketLarge
26. Spain
−4.7%
Jan–Aug 2025611,811
Jan–Aug 2026583,194
Change−28,617
MarketLarge
27. Slovenia
−4.1%
Jan–Aug 202518,325
Jan–Aug 202617,573
Change−752
MarketSmall
28. Czechia
−4.1%
Jan–Aug 202580,078
Jan–Aug 202676,818
Change−3,260
MarketMedium
29. Greece
−3.6%
Jan–Aug 202559,273
Jan–Aug 202657,167
Change−2,106
MarketMedium
30. Lithuania
−3.5%
Jan–Aug 202526,999
Jan–Aug 202626,056
Change−943
MarketMedium
31. Slovakia
−3.3%
Jan–Aug 202532,384
Jan–Aug 202631,313
Change−1,071
MarketMedium
32. Vatican City
−2.0%
Jan–Aug 2025101
Jan–Aug 202699
Change−2
MarketSmall
33. Norway
−1.2%
Jan–Aug 2025111,609
Jan–Aug 2026110,243
Change−1,366
MarketLarge
34. Cyprus
−1.0%
Jan–Aug 20259,171
Jan–Aug 20269,083
Change−88
MarketSmall
35. United Kingdom
−0.6%
Jan–Aug 20252,644,598
Jan–Aug 20262,628,714
Change−15,884
MarketLarge
36. Malta
−0.4%
Jan–Aug 20256,683
Jan–Aug 20266,657
Change−26
MarketSmall
37. Bulgaria
+0.2%
Jan–Aug 202522,134
Jan–Aug 202622,177
Change+43
MarketSmall
38. Estonia
+0.4%
Jan–Aug 202513,656
Jan–Aug 202613,708
Change+52
MarketSmall
39. Poland
+0.9%
Jan–Aug 2025262,187
Jan–Aug 2026264,477
Change+2,290
MarketLarge
40. Serbia
+0.9%
Jan–Aug 202522,923
Jan–Aug 202623,127
Change+204
MarketSmall
41. Latvia
+2.1%
Jan–Aug 202514,418
Jan–Aug 202614,718
Change+300
MarketSmall
42. Ukraine
+2.8%
Jan–Aug 202557,330
Jan–Aug 202658,950
Change+1,620
MarketMedium
43. Andorra
+6.6%
Jan–Aug 20251,797
Jan–Aug 20261,915
Change+118
MarketSmall
44. Azerbaijan
+8.3%
Jan–Aug 20257,267
Jan–Aug 20267,868
Change+601
MarketSmall
45. Bosnia and Herzegovina
+14.9%
Jan–Aug 20256,207
Jan–Aug 20267,130
Change+923
MarketSmall
46. Monaco
+15.2%
Jan–Aug 20252,212
Jan–Aug 20262,548
Change+336
MarketSmall
47. Croatia
+17.7%
Jan–Aug 202526,427
Jan–Aug 202631,094
Change+4,667
MarketMedium
48. Hungary
+18.1%
Jan–Aug 202557,993
Jan–Aug 202668,463
Change+10,470
MarketMedium
Longer-term context: 2019
Some gaps against 2019 are much larger than the changes since 2024 and should not be confused with them. Sweden was −13.3% vs 2024 but −42.3% vs 2019; Norway −5.7% vs −40.4%; Finland −17.3% vs −39.1%; Denmark −40.2% vs −55.7%. These Nordic 2019 gaps describe a longer period and are not changes “since 2024”.
Key data for journalists
US visitor arrivals from NTTO-defined Europe were 8,403,210 in January–August 2026, −9.7% vs the same months of 2024 (−897,847).
Destination Finder analysis of NTTO ADIS/I-94 data · Jul–Aug 2026 preliminary
Arrivals from residents of Denmark fell 40.2% (155,990 → 93,292), the largest percentage decline among 48 ranked European markets.
Destination Finder analysis of NTTO ADIS/I-94 data · Jul–Aug 2026 preliminary
Germany recorded 309,558 fewer arrivals than in 2024 (−23.9%); the UK recorded 38,649 more (+1.5%), though it was −0.6% vs 2025.
Destination Finder analysis of NTTO ADIS/I-94 data · Jul–Aug 2026 preliminary
Poland was the only large European market above both 2024 (+6.3%) and 2025 (+0.9%).
Destination Finder analysis of NTTO ADIS/I-94 data · Jul–Aug 2026 preliminary
Methodology and limitations
Official NTTO arrivals by country of residence, matched January–August periods, ranked on unrounded values. No causes are inferred.
Full methodology
Source. US National Travel and Tourism Office I-94 Arrivals Program (ADIS/I-94), monthly arrivals by country of residence, retrieved 2026-09-24 and frozen for this article. Nothing is fetched at page load.
Country of residence. Arrivals are classified by where the traveller lives, not citizenship. They count arrival events, not unique people or trips, and include all purposes of travel.
Matched periods. Every comparison sums January–August in each year. Percentage change = 100 × (2026 − baseline) / baseline.
Ranking. 48 eligible countries are ranked by unrounded percentage change; displayed figures are rounded. Market size is fixed before ranking from January–August 2025 arrivals (large 100,000+, medium 25,000–99,999, small under 25,000); it is not a significance test.
Two geographies. The Europe-wide headline is NTTO’s Western plus Eastern Europe aggregate and is not summed from the country panel. The panel includes Cyprus as an EU member although NTTO assigns it to the Middle East; Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia and Russia follow NTTO’s Eastern Europe classification; Türkiye follows NTTO’s Middle East classification and is outside the ranking.
Kosovo. Raw all-zero 2024-2026 Kosovo observations: unresolved coding/coverage, not evidence of no travel; excluded from change rankings.
Status and revisions. July and August 2026 are preliminary. Recent historical observations can be revised by NTTO.
2019 context. 2019 comparisons cover a longer period and are shown as context only.
Interpretation. All comparisons are descriptive. The data do not show why arrivals changed.
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Destination guides for places in the United States. The statistics in this article are national arrival figures; they are not specific to any city.